Powerful back Carolina to secure victory (April 23)

0

Hurricane vs. Devils Odds

Hurricane Ratings -250
Devils Odds +190
More less 6.5
Weather 12:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN+
Odds via BetMGM. Get the latest NHL odds here.

With four games left in the regular season, the Carolina Hurricanes enter Saturday’s NHL game tied with the New York Rangers on 108 points in the hunt for first place in the Metropolitan Division.

Carolina will be greeted by one of the biggest underperformers of the season in the New Jersey Devils, who will likely finish more than 25 points below the preseason betting markets projection for his final number.

The Devils were embarrassed by the Buffalo Sabers at home on Thursday and will surely be desperate to put on a better performance for the home crowd.

So, will New Jersey be able to hang out with a much better Carolina team? Let’s take a look at this contest below and see where we can find betting value.

Carolina Hurricanes

The Hurricanes appeared in line for another less than dominating performance after a period Thursday against the Jets. They scored twice in the first period before rocking the ice in the second and third periods, finishing with 46 shots in a 4-2 victory.

They entered this game in the middle of a 5-5-0 run, which put Rangers back in the divisional race, and it looks like the slow start could be something of a breaking point.

Carolina has consistently dominated the overall flow of play in its last 10 games, with an expected goal rate of 57.24%, but has shown its ability to look a bit outdated in front of goal at times by generating too many chances that are simply meant to be safe.

That’s a minor criticism, though, because generating anything notable offensively against this Carolina group still proves difficult most nights for the opposition, and the visitor still plays a lot more of the game in the zone. offensive.

Criticism of shot quality could also be a bit of a bonus, as more of those mediocre looks could certainly end up in the net against either of the Devils’ goalie options.

Home ice has actually had the worst record in recent playoff history, and the Capitals and Penguins are tied themselves, so it’s hard to say who will even finish third or fourth in the division.

So whether or not winning the division actually provides an advantage is debatable, but I expect Rod Brind’Amour’s group to play with a high level of urgency to claim it with four games to go.

Antti Raanta will likely start in goal for the Hurricanes, playing with a +3.7 save percentage above the expected mark with a .946 save percentage in 26 games played.

New Jersey Devils

After what was one of its best wins of the season in Las Vegas on Monday, New Jersey went home and showed more of the form we’re used to seeing in a loss to the Sabers.

Maybe it was a little disappointing after a big win, but we saw New Jersey continue to give up a ton of goals. Realistically, this victory in Vegas was pretty random all things considered when you look at the expected scoring score and the fact that New Jersey’s two third-period goals were weak.

This club just aren’t very good, and I believe at times their positive reviews have kept the lines closer than they deserve this season, making them a profitable fade.

Defensively, there are a lot of soft plays up front and back. And even as someone who doesn’t buy much into older schools of thought, this seems like an easier team to play against than its moderate xGA numbers suggest.

The Devils slated No. 1 goaltender in Mackenzie Blackwood is nearing a comeback and he could come here, but even he has struggled to score horrible points behind this team with a GSAx rating of -10.3 and a save percentage of .894.

Hurricanes vs. Devils Pick

The gap between the top teams and the middle teams is clearly wider than normal, and the number of goals scored at significantly higher rates did not hurt the chances of winning two or more goals.

Carolina really is a top team, and while New Jersey might be a bit better than their record, getting more money to see their horrible goaltending tandem have yet another game where the visitor will likely knock at new for 35+ shots looks pretty good.

It’s getting a little boring constantly pumping these big favorites to cover the Puck Line lately, but what doesn’t get boring are the results.

With odds of +105, we have strong value to back another bet like this as we wait for Carolina to seal two big runs in comfort.

Even when New Jersey has controlled the game at a reasonable pace, they lose by two or more goals often enough for it to have value. However, I don’t expect the Devils to have the best of the streak against an opponent fighting for the division crown.

To take: Carolina -1.5 (+105)

Share.

Comments are closed.